Category Archives: Risk Management

Important: Please Protect Your Email Ids

Hi Folks, over the last 6 weeks, we have observed that the email ids of many people in our extended network have been hijacked by hackers. While Hotmail seems to be the easiest to crack, we have also seen Yahoo and Gmail ids hijacked.

Its a real problem once your email id goes this way, because the hackers get access to your email id and change the password, and use your address book to send lots of spam mail from your id, and you will be forced to spend lot of time in damage control.

So to protect your email ids, please change your password ASAP if you have not changed it in the last 2-3 weeks, and keep it cryptic. This is the best protection.

And to protect against any key-logging script that may have come on your computer from somewhere, please regularly delete all cookies and Internet temp files, and run anti-virus once every week. Let us know if you want any help.

Temasek Holdings Reveals $39 Billion Loss

http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_YlvEjlIelzk/R-xvJCBdpJI/AAAAAAAAJ0Y/Q997dhiOFP0/s400/Temasek%2BHoldings.jpgTemasek Holdings, the Singapore state owned investment company, has revealed today that it has lost $39 billion, or 31 percent of its holdings, in eight months last year.Temasek Holdings portfolio went down from SG$ 185 billion to SG$ 127 billion Singapore dollars ($85 billion) as of November 30.

The revelation comes just days after Temasek said Chief Executive Ho Ching, the wife of Singapore’s premier Lee Hsien Loong, steps down to be replaced by former BHP Billiton CEO Charles Goodyear.

The fund made a number of wrong moves under Ho Ching, including a $5 billion investment in brokerage Merrill Lynch in late 2007. And as you may know already, Merrill’s shares fell 78 percent in 2008 amid the global financial turmoil and it was bought by Bank of America Corp. on 1st Jan in a lifesaving deal.

Temasek Holdings also has large stakes in other financial companies such as Standard Chartered Plc, DBS Group Holdings Ltd and Barclays Plc. So it looks like Temasek financed a good chunk of the toxic mortgage securities in the US.

This is a learning for all of us. Warren Buffet invested $5bn in Goldman Sachs, and Temasek in ML. And the difference in the quality of decision making is clear.

Goldman Sachs Reports First Quarterly Loss But Remains Strong

The unbeatable hero of Wall Street, Goldman Sachs, has reported its first ever quarterly loss since it went public 9 years ago. And yes, the market conditions are quite bad.

Goldman Sachs has posted a quarterly loss of $2.1 billion, or $4.97 per share, on net negative revenue $1.58 billion, down from a profit of $7.01 per share in the same quarter last year. Results for the entire year weren’t actually all that bad; the i-bank posted a profit of $2.3 billion, or $4.47 per share, on revenue of $22.2 billion.

Though some may say its down from an $11.6 billion profit last year, but if you see it with a “grounded perspective”, most of Goldman Sach’s competition is in tatters, or buried already.

To us, a surviving and standing Goldman Sachs represents strength. And they have managed to be significantly less exposed to much of the sub-prime crisis and its toxic derivatives.

More than that, Goldman Sachs has the belief to battle it out. If anyone on Wall Street can do it, it has to be Goldman Sachs. And at their current valuation, they are still a ‘buy’!

Welcome to GSIBM: Graham School of Investing & Business Management

Hi Folks, how are you doing? As we near the end of year 2008, I am happy to share this star project of MyOrbit with you. It has been in the works for a while, and now getting ready to go live soon in 6-8 weeks.

GSIBM: Graham School of Investing & Business Management

http://GSIBM.com

It could be considered as an online b-school that’s very practical in its approach, and aims to build business leaders. The program is based on successful business teachings by Ben Graham (and followed by Warren Buffet to produce financial results we all know).

The program has been carefully designed after extensive market research on the business knowledge needs of working professionals at various levels, and it will address a large unmet need.

The program will help working professionals in their career growth with the wide coverage planned: from Finance & Investing, to Sales & Marketing, and Legal Contracts, etc.

You are the among first to get this news, and it will be great if you can share it with others who may be interested, and also bookmark the website: http://GSIBM.com
Best Wishes,
Shankar AVSB for MyOrbit Team

Will Information Technology Really Turn Organizations Upside Down This Time?

The battle tank example used by Professor Heskett is a high risk, high gain scenario for an information technology (IT) application. The latest advances in IT have the highest marginal utility for a tank commander because it is a question of life and death. However, the majority of us prefer to deploy IT applications for medium risk, medium gain scenarios like credit card processing, market forecasting etc., and prefer the manual route where it really matters.

The battle tank example presents two distinct scenarios. On one hand, a badly implemented IT application could lead a tank commander to make a wrong decision. On the other hand, a well implemented and intuitive IT application could actually lead the same tank commander to save his life and that of his comrades. He could fight more and increase his country’s chances of winning the battle.

In business terminology, the latter scenario is equivalent to large gains in employee productivity and increased employee contribution towards winning market share. All CEOs want this to happen, but only a few succeed. Why?

It is because organizations differ in their risk-taking profiles. We can divide organizations in two broad categories. On one end, we have organizations like the pension funds that are risk-averse because their investors want it that way. Their employees tend to have the same philosophy. And because they are giant investors themselves, they pass their risk-averse sentiment along with their investments. The quarterly reporting on Wall Street represents this sentiment. Strategic investments like high-end IT applications tend to get flagged as low priority in the annual budgeting exercise, even though some of them could turn out to be market winning applications.

On the other end, we have organizations that want to experiment, and their investors want them to do exactly that. Failure is usually a part of the annual expenses. The firms in biotech and wireless are examples of this category. They are smaller in size than the typical Fortune 500 and the employees know their regular customers. They tend to know how an event could affect their revenues and profits. These firms not only sell their experimentation, but also pass their innovative methods on to their customers.

Most of today’s Fortune 500 organizations lie in between these two ends. And therefore, they vary in their zeal to try out an innovative approach, which could be an IT application.

It is true that exposing decision ­making information to frontline employees is a business risk. But a well-implemented IT application can mitigate that risk and still bring the benefits of speed into business. For example, it could help a customer service rep to identify potential sales, and pitch right away from a pool of ready-made product demos while the competition is still planning an internal meeting. It is the same as the ability of a Japanese autoworker to stop the billion­ dollar production line and correct a defect right away, and avoid expensive and embarrassing recalls later.

So, will information technology really turn organizations upside down this time? Yes it will, but only for a few organizations. These would be organizations willing to experiment with the capabilities of their frontline employees using innovative approaches. These would be organizations willing to place the knowledge acquired by the seniors in front of the juniors. And possibly, these would be organizations poised to become the new market leaders.

Shankar AVSB
Associate
Infosys Technologies Limited
01 October 2021

Reference:  https://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/heskett-column-will-information-technology-really-turn-organizations-upside-down-this-time-readers-respond